Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Mjallby AIF had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Mjallby AIF win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kalmar in this match.
