Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.32%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest IFK Norrkoping win was 2-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
