Scottish League Cup Gameweek 5
Jul 25, 2026 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Pittodrie Stadium
  • Kevin Nisbet 2' goal
  • Kjartan Már Kjartansson 27' goal
  • Toyosi Olusanya 51' goal
  • yellowcard Dylan Corr 55'
  • yellowcard Callum Hannah 68'

Aberdeen vs Kelty Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 22, 2026 7.45pm
QotS 1 - 4 Aberdeen

Kelty Hearts

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 7.45pm
Kelty Hearts 3 - 2 Brora Rangers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 67.64%. A draw had a probability of 18.32% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 14.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aberdeen win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 1-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%) , while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-2 (4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result

Aberdeen 67.64% (+0.02)
Draw 18.32%
Kelty Hearts 14.04% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.43% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.57% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 16.43% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 64.27% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 35.73% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 41.79% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 58.21% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 28.77% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 71.23% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Aberdeen 52.72% (+0.02)
Draw 34.29% (-0.01)
Kelty Hearts 12.99% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Aberdeen 70.88% (-0.02)
No Goal 4.19%
Kelty Hearts 24.93% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 68.16% (-0.03)
Equal 8 10.26%
Under 8 21.57% (+0.02)
Over 9 56.77% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.4%
Under 9 31.84% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 45.23% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 54.77% (+0.02)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 1.5 66.38%
Under 1.5 33.62%
Over 2.5 41.25% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 58.75% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 21.16%
Under 3.5 78.84%

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 48.97% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 51.03% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 19.68% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 80.32% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 6.15% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 93.85% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.66% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.34% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Aberdeen 67.65%
Draw 18.31%
Kelty Hearts 14.04%
Aberdeen
2-1 @ 10.05%
2-0 @ 9.3% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.61% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.94% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 7.43%
3-2 @ 3.33%
Other @ 20.99% (+0.01)
Total : 67.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.18% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.38%
0-0 @ 4.19%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.17% (-0.01)
Total : 18.31%
Kelty Hearts
1-2 @ 4% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 3.63%
0-2 @ 1.82%
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.2% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.49% (-0.02)
Total : 14.04%