Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Ilves win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
