Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
