Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 61.95%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for KTP had a probability of 16.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a KTP win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lahti would win this match.
