Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Ilves win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.