Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.
