Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hansa Rostock win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hansa Rostock win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hansa Rostock would win this match.