Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21

Feb 9, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
1 - 1
Metz

Moumbagna (56')
Onana (82'), Clauss (87')
Gigot (31')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Udol (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 1-0 Marseille
Sunday, February 4 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Metz

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Metz 1-2 Lorient
Sunday, February 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Stalemates have been commonplace between Marseille and Metz over the past few years, but Les Olympiens would do well to convert one point into three on Friday lest they risk the fans' wrath again. Thankfully for Gattuso's men, their visitors' attack has been one of the least threatening in the league all season long - only Clermont boast a worse offensive record - and Les Olympiens should chalk up a couple of strikes en route to a relief-inducing victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 68.46%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Metz had a probability of 13.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Metz
68.46% ( -0.08)	18.44% ( 0.02)	13.1% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 51.65% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.85% (

0.05)

40.14% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.48% (

0.05)

62.51% (

-0.05)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.3% (

-0.01)

10.7% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.38% (

-0.02)

34.62% (

0.01)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.84% (

0.12)

42.15% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.43% (

0.1)

78.57% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Marseille 68.45%

Metz 13.1%

Draw 18.44%

Marseille	Draw	Metz
2-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.25% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.81% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.22% Total : 68.45%	1-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.44%	0-1 @ 3.9% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.46% Total : 13.1%