Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16

Dec 17, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz
0 - 1
Montpellier

Diallo (53'), Udol (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Esteve (9')
Jullien (74'), Lecomte (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Metz

All competitions

Last Game: Metz 0-1 Brest
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Montpellier 0-0 Lens
Friday, December 8 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

We said: Metz 0-0 Montpellier HSC

Attacking is not the strong suit of either side, currently separated by two points in the table, with Montpellier in 14th, while Metz have netted two fewer times than their Sunday opponents (15). Combine that with the creative struggles of each, and we expect chances to be at a premium for each team, who are evenly matched. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Metz	Draw	Montpellier HSC
41.3% ( -0.75)	26.05% ( -0.05)	32.65% ( 0.79)

Both teams to score 53.39% (

0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.05% (

0.42)

50.95% (

-0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.18% (

0.37)

72.82% (

-0.37)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.6% (

-0.19)

24.39% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.19% (

-0.27)

58.81% (

0.27)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.62% (

0.73)

29.38% (

-0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.63% (

0.89)

65.36% (

-0.89)

Score Analysis

Metz 41.3%

Montpellier HSC 32.65%

Draw 26.04%

Metz	Draw	Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.71% Total : 41.3%	1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.04%	0-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.65%