Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17

Dec 20, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
1 - 1
Marseille

Fayad (14')
Jullien (44'), Savanier (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Veretout (52')
Gigot (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Metz 0-1 Montpellier
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Clermont
Sunday, December 17 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Montpellier HSC 0-1 Marseille

Marseille are starting to find ways to win, and their attacking depth should be enough to defeat a Montpellier side who are much more compact defensively on home soil but are not quite as dynamic when in possession. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Marseille
34.17%	25.47%	40.36%

Both teams to score 55.73% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.87% (

-0)

48.13% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.71% (

-0)

70.29% (

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.96% (

-0)

27.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.59%

62.41%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.38%

23.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.3% (

-0)

57.7% (

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 34.17%

Marseille 40.36%

Draw 25.47%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 8.35% 2-1 @ 7.88% 2-0 @ 5.46% 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 2.48% 3-0 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.05% Total : 34.17%	1-1 @ 12.05% 0-0 @ 6.39% 2-2 @ 5.69% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.47%	0-1 @ 9.22% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.7% 0-2 @ 6.65% 1-3 @ 4.18% 0-3 @ 3.2% 2-3 @ 2.74% 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.15% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.02% Total : 40.36%