Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17

Dec 20, 2023 at 8pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
3 - 1
Metz

Vitinha (49'), Mbappe (60', 83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Udol (72')
Herelle (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lille 1-1 PSG
Sunday, December 17 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Metz

All competitions

Last Game: Metz 0-1 Montpellier
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 4-0 Metz

It would not be beyond the realm of possibility for Metz to switch to a defence-heavy setup in a bid to quell the PSG strikeforce, who are normally in a merciless mood at the Parc des Princes, but their resistance should ultimately prove futile. Profligacy has harmed Enrique's men heading into the Christmas period, but a straightforward success - their 14th in a row against Metz - should come their way before the New Year celebrations commence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 74.47%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Metz had a probability of 10.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 3-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for a Metz win it was 1-2 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Metz
74.47% ( -0.55)	15.29% ( 0.55)	10.23% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 53.68% (

-2.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.26% (

-2.97)

32.73% (

2.97)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.58% (

-3.51)

54.41% (

3.5)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.55% (

-0.78)

7.45% (

0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.21% (

-2.07)

26.79% (

2.07)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58% (

-2.17)

41.99% (

2.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.57% (

-1.94)

78.42% (

1.94)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 74.47%

Metz 10.23%

Draw 15.29%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Metz
2-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.81) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.34) 1-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.93) 3-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.33) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.29) 5-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.29) 4-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.29) 6-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.12) 5-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.21) 6-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.44% Total : 74.47%	1-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.47) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.15% Total : 15.29%	1-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.13% Total : 10.23%