Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 69.36%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 12.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.