Eredivisie Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2025 1.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT MAC³PARK Stadion
  • Ryan Thomas 32' yellowcard
  • goal Kenneth Taylor 61'

PEC Zwolle vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

PEC Zwolle

All competitions
Last game
Mar 2, 2025 1.30pm
Heracles 4 - 2 PEC Zwolle
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Dylan Vente

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Mar 2, 2025 1.30pm
Almere City 0 - 1 Ajax
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Wout Weghorst

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 69.23%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 12.54%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-0 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result

PEC Zwolle 12.54% (-0.07)
Draw 18.22% (-0.07)
Ajax 69.23% (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.72% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.48% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 40.51% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 37.1% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 62.89% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 19.86% (+0.12)
Under 4.5 80.13% (-0.12)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5 56.73% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 43.26% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 20.49% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 79.51% (-0.01)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 89.39% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 10.61% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 65.59% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 34.4% (-0.17)

Score analysis

PEC Zwolle 12.54%
Draw 18.22%
Ajax 69.22%
PEC Zwolle
1-0 @ 3.84% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 3.61% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 1.61% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.13% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 12.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.63% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.59% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 18.22%
Ajax
0-2 @ 11.54% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 10.29% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 9.68% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 8.64% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 7.24% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 4.85% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 4.06% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.03% (+0.01)
0-5 @ 2.18% (+0.02)
1-5 @ 1.82% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.7% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 69.22%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 13
Nov 24, 2024 3.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Amsterdam ArenA
  • Brian Brobbey 27' goal
  • Jorrel Hato 43' yellowcard
  • Jordan Henderson 45' yellowcard
  • Josip Sutalo 63' goal
  • Owen Wijndal 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dylan Mbayo 65'
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 5, 2024 1.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Sportpark De Toekomst
  • Youri Baas 80' yellowcard
  • goal Anthony Fontana 20'
Eredivisie Gameweek 27
Mar 31, 2024 11.15am
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT MAC³PARK Stadion
  • Odysseus Velanas 9' yellowcard
  • Thomas Lam 38' yellowcard
  • Apostolos Vellios 71' yellowcard
  • Filip Krastev 72' goal
  • Anselmo Garcia McNulty 77' yellowcard
  • goal Kristian Hlynsson 12'
  • goal Chuba Akpom 24'
  • yellowcard Sivert Mannsverk 50'
  • goal Chuba Akpom 84'
  • yellowcard Silvano Vos 89'
Eredivisie Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 3.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Brian Brobbey 35' goal
  • Brian Brobbey 48' goal
  • Steven Berghuis 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Odysseus Velanas 30'
  • yellowcard Anselmo Garcia McNulty 54'
  • goal Lennart Thy 60'
  • goal Lennart Thy 89'
  • yellowcard Apostolos Vellios 90'+2'
Eredivisie Gameweek 28
Apr 30, 2022 5.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Dusan Tadic 30' goal
  • Davy Klaassen 51' goal
  • Davy Klaassen 80' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 3
Sep 11, 2021 5.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Daishawn Redan 49' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Antony 26'
  • goal Sebastien Haller 29'
  • yellowcard Ryan Gravenberch 51'
  • goal Sebastien Haller 67'
  • yellowcard Noussair Mazraoui 78'