Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 64.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 15.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 1-2 (4.44%).