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Kylian Mbappe
30'
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Vinicius Junior
34'
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Vinicius Junior
79'
-
Aurelien Tchouameni
85'
-
Luka Modric
90'+2'
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Pedro Diaz
45'+2'
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Gerard Gumbau
63'
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 73.48%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 10.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 3-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 1-2 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Real Madrid Goals
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 9.25% ▼ (-0.30)
3-0 @ 8.89% ▲ (+0.23)
1-0 @ 8.13% ▼ (-1.00)
3-1 @ 7.9% ▲ (+0.30)
4-0 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.52)
4-1 @ 5.06% ▲ (+0.53)
3-2 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.18)
5-0 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.45)
5-1 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.43)
4-2 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.26)
6-0 @ 1.25% ▼ (-97.16)
5-2 @ 1.15% ▼ (-93.95)
6-1 @ 1.11% ▼ (-85.20)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 73.48%
2-2 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.65)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-96.37)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 15.71%
0-1 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.54)
0-2 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.22)
2-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 10.81%
Head to Head
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Unai Lopez
4'
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Augusto Batalla
27'
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Randy Nteka
34'
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Abdul Mumin
36'
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Isi
44'
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Isi
64'
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Sergio Camello
90'+2'
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Federico Valverde
39'
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Jude Bellingham
45'
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Rodrygo
56'
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Luka Modric
62'
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Vinicius Junior
74'
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Raul de Tomas
27'
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Isi
45'+1'
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Ivan Balliu
45'+4'
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Raul de Tomas
81'
-
Alvaro Garcia
82'
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Joselu
3'
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Eduardo Camavinga
61'
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Dani Carvajal
90'+3'
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Dani Carvajal
90'+5'
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Eduardo Camavinga
62'
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Vinicius Junior
74'
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Antonio Rudiger
90'+6'
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Andrei Ratiu
44'
-
Pathe Ciss
57'
-
Oscar Trejo
88'
-
Stole Dimitrievski
90'+1'
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Florian Lejeune
90'+6'
-
Karim Benzema
31'
-
Rodrygo
89'
-
Raul de Tomas
84'
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Santi Comesana
5'
-
Alvaro Garcia
44'
-
Oscar Trejo
67'
-
Luka Modric
37'
-
Eder Militao
41'
-
Oscar Valentin
42'
-
Oscar Trejo
56'
-
Ivan Balliu
65'
-
Bebe
72'
-
Alejandro Catena
79'
-
Casemiro
58'
-
Ferland Mendy
63'
-
Karim Benzema
83'
-
Dani Ceballos
90'+6'
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