World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Mar 28, 2021 10.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Nacional Mateo Flores
  • Onel Hernandez 27' goal
  • goal Leandro Bacuna 11'
  • goal Charlison Benschop 44'

Cuba vs Curacao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cuba

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last game
Mar 25, 2021 12.00am
Guatemala 1 - 0 Cuba

Curacao

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last game
Mar 25, 2021 10.00pm
Curacao 5 - 0 St Vincent & Gr.

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curacao win with a probability of 73.45%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 9.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curacao win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.28%) and 0-3 (10.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Cuba win it was 1-0 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curacao would win this match.

Result

Cuba 9.4%
Draw 17.15%
Curacao 73.45%

Both Teams to Score: 

43.25%

Goals

Over 2.5 55.54%
Under 2.5 44.46%
Over 3.5 33.16%
Under 3.5 66.84%

Cuba Goals

Over 0.5 48.37%
Under 0.5 51.63%
Over 1.5 14.24%
Under 1.5 85.76%

Curacao Goals

Over 0.5 89.4%
Under 0.5 10.6%
Over 1.5 65.62%
Under 1.5 34.38%

Score analysis

Cuba 9.4%
Draw 17.15%
Curacao 73.44%
Cuba
1-0 @ 3.62%
2-1 @ 2.68%
2-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 9.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.12%
0-0 @ 5.47%
2-2 @ 3.01%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 17.15%
Curacao
0-2 @ 13.78%
0-1 @ 12.28%
0-3 @ 10.31%
1-2 @ 9.11%
1-3 @ 6.82%
0-4 @ 5.79%
1-4 @ 3.83%
0-5 @ 2.6%
2-3 @ 2.25%
1-5 @ 1.72%
2-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 73.44%