World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
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Cyle Larin
19'
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Cyle Larin
27'
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Richie Laryea
53'
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Cyle Larin
69'
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T. Corbneau
81'
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Jaylon Bather
47'
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Kane Crichlow
63'
Canada vs Bermuda - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 76.05%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Bermuda had a probability of 9.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.46%), while for a Bermuda win it was 1-2 (2.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.
Result
Canada
76.05%
Draw
14.32%
Bermuda
9.62%
Both Teams to Score:
55.35%
Goals
Over 2.5
70.4%
Under 2.5
29.59%
Over 3.5
49.29%
Under 3.5
50.71%
Canada Goals
Over 0.5
93.56%
Under 0.5
6.43%
Over 1.5
75.91%
Under 1.5
24.08%
Bermuda Goals
Over 0.5
59.15%
Under 0.5
40.84%
Over 1.5
22.58%
Under 1.5
77.41%
Score analysis
Canada
76.06%
Draw
14.32%
Bermuda
9.62%
Canada
2-0
@
9.89%
3-0 @ 9.05%
2-1 @ 8.86%
3-1 @ 8.1%
1-0 @ 7.21%
4-0 @ 6.21%
4-1 @ 5.56%
3-2 @ 3.63%
5-0 @ 3.41%
5-1 @ 3.05%
4-2 @ 2.49%
6-0 @ 1.56%
6-1 @ 1.4%
5-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 76.06%
3-0 @ 9.05%
2-1 @ 8.86%
3-1 @ 8.1%
1-0 @ 7.21%
4-0 @ 6.21%
4-1 @ 5.56%
3-2 @ 3.63%
5-0 @ 3.41%
5-1 @ 3.05%
4-2 @ 2.49%
6-0 @ 1.56%
6-1 @ 1.4%
5-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 76.06%
Draw
1-1
@
6.46%
2-2 @ 3.97%
0-0 @ 2.63%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 14.32%
2-2 @ 3.97%
0-0 @ 2.63%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 14.32%
Bermuda
1-2
@
2.89%
0-1 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 1.18%
0-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 9.62%
0-1 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 1.18%
0-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 9.62%