World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
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P. Nickelson
49'
-
Mark Jacobs
76'
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Nigel Hasselbaink
19'
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F. Croes
27'
(OG)
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Ryan Donk
30'
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Nigel Hasselbaink
37'
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Nigel Hasselbaink
55'
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Florian Jozefzoon
70'
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Roland Alberg
74'
Aruba vs Suriname - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Aruba
Suriname
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 60.51%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Aruba had a probability of 19.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.29%) and 0-1 (7.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for an Aruba win it was 2-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Suriname would win this match.
Result
Aruba
19.52%
Draw
19.97%
Suriname
60.51%
Both Teams to Score:
61.4%
Goals
Over 2.5
65.4%
Under 2.5
34.6%
Over 3.5
43.46%
Under 3.5
56.54%
Aruba Goals
Over 0.5
69.1%
Under 0.5
30.9%
Over 1.5
32.81%
Under 1.5
67.19%
Suriname Goals
Over 0.5
88.85%
Under 0.5
11.15%
Over 1.5
64.39%
Under 1.5
35.62%
Score analysis
Aruba
19.52%
Draw
19.97%
Suriname
60.51%
Aruba
2-1
@
5.21%
1-0 @ 4.05%
2-0 @ 2.38%
3-2 @ 2.24%
3-1 @ 2.04%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 19.52%
1-0 @ 4.05%
2-0 @ 2.38%
3-2 @ 2.24%
3-1 @ 2.04%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 19.52%
Draw
1-1
@
8.88%
2-2 @ 5.72%
0-0 @ 3.45%
3-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 19.97%
2-2 @ 5.72%
0-0 @ 3.45%
3-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 19.97%
Suriname
1-2
@
9.74%
0-2 @ 8.29%
0-1 @ 7.56%
1-3 @ 7.12%
0-3 @ 6.06%
2-3 @ 4.18%
1-4 @ 3.91%
0-4 @ 3.33%
2-4 @ 2.29%
1-5 @ 1.71%
0-5 @ 1.46%
2-5 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 60.51%
0-2 @ 8.29%
0-1 @ 7.56%
1-3 @ 7.12%
0-3 @ 6.06%
2-3 @ 4.18%
1-4 @ 3.91%
0-4 @ 3.33%
2-4 @ 2.29%
1-5 @ 1.71%
0-5 @ 1.46%
2-5 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 60.51%