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World Cup

Aruba national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | First Round
Mar 28, 2021 at 12am UK
IMG Soccer Stadium
Suriname national football team

Aruba
0 - 6
Suriname


Nickelson (49'), Jacobs (76')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Hasselbaink (19', 37', 55'), Croes (27' og.), Jozefzoon (70'), Alberg (74')
Donk (30')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America First Round clash between Aruba and Suriname.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 60.51%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Aruba had a probability of 19.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.29%) and 0-1 (7.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for an Aruba win it was 2-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Suriname would win this match.

Result
ArubaDrawSuriname
19.52%19.97%60.51%
Both teams to score 61.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.4%34.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.46%56.54%
Aruba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.1%30.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.81%67.19%
Suriname Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.85%11.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.39%35.62%
Score Analysis
    Aruba 19.52%
    Suriname 60.51%
    Draw 19.97%
ArubaDrawSuriname
2-1 @ 5.21%
1-0 @ 4.05%
2-0 @ 2.38%
3-2 @ 2.24%
3-1 @ 2.04%
3-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 19.52%
1-1 @ 8.88%
2-2 @ 5.72%
0-0 @ 3.45%
3-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 19.97%
1-2 @ 9.74%
0-2 @ 8.29%
0-1 @ 7.56%
1-3 @ 7.12%
0-3 @ 6.06%
2-3 @ 4.18%
1-4 @ 3.91%
0-4 @ 3.33%
2-4 @ 2.29%
1-5 @ 1.71%
0-5 @ 1.46%
2-5 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 60.51%