Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 1
Sep 12, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Park Avenue

Aberystwyth
2 - 3
Cardiff MU

Evans (13'), Davies (72')
J (30'), Rowe (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Evans (67'), Hulbert (83', 86')
Warman (83')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Cardiff MU.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-0 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawCardiff MU
32.61%24.93%42.47%
Both teams to score 57.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.91%46.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.61%68.4%
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.98%27.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.62%62.38%
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.29%21.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.14%54.87%
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 32.61%
    Cardiff MU 42.47%
    Draw 24.92%
Aberystwyth TownDrawCardiff MU
1-0 @ 7.68%
2-1 @ 7.67%
2-0 @ 5.02%
3-1 @ 3.35%
3-2 @ 2.56%
3-0 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 32.61%
1-1 @ 11.72%
0-0 @ 5.87%
2-2 @ 5.86%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 8.96%
1-2 @ 8.96%
0-2 @ 6.84%
1-3 @ 4.56%
0-3 @ 3.48%
2-3 @ 2.98%
1-4 @ 1.74%
0-4 @ 1.33%
2-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 42.47%

rhs 2.0


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