US Open Cup
Mar 17, 2026 11.00pm
1
0
HT :
1
0
FT
The Hunts Post Community Stadium
-
David Ismail
40'
Vermont Green vs Portland Hearts of Pine - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Vermont Green
Portland Hearts of Pine
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vermont Green win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Portland Hearts of Pine had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vermont Green win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Portland Hearts of Pine win was 0-1 (7.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
Result
Vermont Green
41.08%
▲
(+2.12)
Draw
25.84%
▲
(+0.06)
Portland Hearts of Pine
33.08%
▼
(-2.18)
Both Teams to Score:
51.17%
▲
(+0.90)
Goals
Over 1.5
75.86%
▲
(+1.08)
Under 1.5
24.14%
▼
(-1.08)
Over 2.5
53.02%
▲
(+1.60)
Under 2.5
46.98%
▼
(-1.60)
Over 3.5
31.58%
▲
(+1.84)
Under 3.5
68.42%
▼
(-1.85)
Over 4.5
19.57%
▲
(+1.40)
Under 4.5
80.43%
▼
(-1.39)
First Half Winner
Vermont Green
35.29%
▲
(+0.09)
Draw
40.78%
▲
(+0.18)
Portland Hearts of Pine
23.93%
▼
(-0.27)
Team To Score First
Vermont Green
53.18%
▲
(+1.47)
No Goal
7.47%
▼
(-0.34)
Portland Hearts of Pine
39.35%
▼
(-1.13)
Corners
Over 8
47.75%
▲
(+0.46)
Equal 8
11.12%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 8
41.12%
▼
(-0.66)
Over 9
37.24%
▲
(+0.27)
Equal 9
10.52%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 9
52.25%
▼
(-0.46)
Over 10.5
28.04%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 10.5
71.96%
▼
(-0.08)
Vermont Green Goals
Over 1.5
41.41%
▲
(+2.85)
Under 1.5
58.59%
▼
(-2.85)
Over 2.5
19.64%
▲
(+2.36)
Under 2.5
80.36%
▼
(-2.35)
Over 3.5
8.38%
▲
(+1.20)
Under 3.5
91.62%
▼
(-1.19)
Portland Hearts of Pine Goals
Over 0.5
65.39%
▼
(-1.18)
Under 0.5
34.61%
▲
(+1.18)
Over 1.5
34.6%
▼
(-0.72)
Under 1.5
65.4%
▲
(+0.72)
Over 2.5
15.08%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 2.5
84.92%
▲
(+0.38)
Over 3.5
5.69%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
94.31%
▲
(+0.04)
Score analysis
Vermont Green
41.08%
Draw
25.84%
Portland Hearts of Pine
33.09%
Vermont Green
1-0
@
8.96%
▼
(-0.17)
2-1 @ 7.9% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.36% ▲ (+0.23)
3-0 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.40)
3-1 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.38)
3-2 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.26)
Other @ 7.93% ▲ (+1.05)
Total : 41.08%
2-1 @ 7.9% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.36% ▲ (+0.23)
3-0 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.40)
3-1 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.38)
3-2 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.26)
Other @ 7.93% ▲ (+1.05)
Total : 41.08%
Draw
1-1
@
11.42%
▼
(-0.23)
0-0 @ 7.47% ▼ (-0.34)
2-2 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.33)
3-3 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 0.45% ▲ (+0.15)
Total : 25.84%
0-0 @ 7.47% ▼ (-0.34)
2-2 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.33)
3-3 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 0.45% ▲ (+0.15)
Total : 25.84%
Portland Hearts of Pine
0-1
@
7.72%
▼
(-0.60)
1-2 @ 7.01% ▼ (-0.45)
0-2 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.49)
1-3 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.27)
0-3 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.21)
2-3 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.17)
Total : 33.09%
1-2 @ 7.01% ▼ (-0.45)
0-2 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.49)
1-3 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.27)
0-3 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.21)
2-3 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.17)
Total : 33.09%