Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forward Madison win with a probability of 47.16%. A win for Michigan Bucks had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 20.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forward Madison win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.16%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Michigan Bucks win was 2-1 (6.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.