European Under-21s Championship | Qualifying Round
Oct 8, 2020 at 12pm UK
Astana Arena

Kazakhstan U21s
1 - 4
North Macedonia U21s

Omirtayev (52')
Omirtayev (22'), Usenov (51')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Churlinov (38', 48'), Atanasov (41'), Mitrovski (67')
Todoroski (20'), Rufati (54'), Miovski (79'), Fazliu (90+3')
Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Qualifying Round clash between Kazakhstan Under-21s and North Macedonia Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia Under-21s win with a probability of 61.47%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Kazakhstan Under-21s had a probability of 18.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.42%) and 0-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Kazakhstan Under-21s win it was 2-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that North Macedonia Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Kazakhstan Under-21sDrawNorth Macedonia Under-21s
18.14%20.4%61.47%
Both teams to score 57.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.07%38.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.75%61.25%
Kazakhstan Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.1%34.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.36%71.64%
North Macedonia Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.79%12.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.11%37.89%
Score Analysis
    Kazakhstan Under-21s 18.14%
    North Macedonia Under-21s 61.47%
    Draw 20.4%
Kazakhstan Under-21sDrawNorth Macedonia Under-21s
2-1 @ 4.97%
1-0 @ 4.49%
2-0 @ 2.36%
3-2 @ 1.83%
3-1 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 18.14%
1-1 @ 9.43%
2-2 @ 5.22%
0-0 @ 4.26%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.4%
1-2 @ 9.92%
0-2 @ 9.42%
0-1 @ 8.96%
1-3 @ 6.95%
0-3 @ 6.61%
2-3 @ 3.66%
1-4 @ 3.66%
0-4 @ 3.47%
2-4 @ 1.92%
1-5 @ 1.54%
0-5 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 61.47%