Under-20s World Cup
May 31, 2023 6.30pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
  • Marcos Leonardo 11' goal
  • Andrey Santos 31' goal
  • Matheus Martins 90'+1' goal
  • Andrey Santos 90'+10' goal
  • goal Mahmoud Ghorbel 90'+13'

Brazil Under-20s vs Tunisia Under-20s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Brazil Under-20s

All competitions

Tunisia Under-20s

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil Under-20s win with a probability of 62.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Tunisia Under-20s had a probability of 17.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil Under-20s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Tunisia Under-20s win it was 1-2 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil Under-20s would win this match.

Result

Brazil Under-20s 62.3% (+0.50)
Draw 20.4% (-0.20)
Tunisia Under-20s 17.3% (-0.32)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.39% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.57% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 40.42% (-0.35)
Over 3.5 37.2% (+0.35)
Under 3.5 62.79% (-0.36)
Over 4.5 19.94% (+0.27)
Under 4.5 80.06% (-0.28)

Brazil Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5 87.56% (+0.25)
Under 0.5 12.43% (-0.25)
Over 1.5 61.64% (+0.52)
Under 1.5 38.35% (-0.52)

Tunisia Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5 63.26% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 36.74% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 26.47% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 73.52% (+0.15)

Score analysis

Brazil Under-20s 62.3%
Draw 20.4%
Tunisia Under-20s 17.3%
Brazil Under-20s
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.93% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 9.52% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 6.91% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 6.9% (+0.09)
4-1 @ 3.6% (+0.07)
4-0 @ 3.6% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.46% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.8% (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.5% (+0.05)
5-0 @ 1.5% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 62.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.54% (-0.10)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.57% (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.4%
Tunisia Under-20s
1-2 @ 4.77% (-0.07)
0-1 @ 4.57% (-0.10)
0-2 @ 2.29% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.59% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 17.3%