Under-20s World Cup | Round of 16
May 31, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Brazil U20s
4 - 1
Tunisia U20s

Leonardo (11' pen.), Santos (31', 90+10'), Martins (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ghorbel (90+13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Under-20 World Cup clash between Brazil Under-20s and Tunisia Under-20s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brazil Under-20s

All competitions
Last Game: Brazil U20s 2-0 Nigeria U20s
Saturday, May 27 at 7pm in Under-20 World Cup

Tunisia Under-20s

Last Game: Tunisia U20s 0-1 Uruguay U20s
Sunday, May 28 at 7pm in Under-20 World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil Under-20s win with a probability of 62.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Tunisia Under-20s had a probability of 17.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil Under-20s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Tunisia Under-20s win it was 1-2 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil Under-20s would win this match.

Result
Brazil Under-20sDrawTunisia Under-20s
62.3% (0.499 0.5)20.4% (-0.192 -0.19)17.3% (-0.311 -0.31)
Both teams to score 55.39% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.57% (0.337 0.34)40.42% (-0.341 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.2% (0.347 0.35)62.79% (-0.35 -0.35)
Brazil Under-20s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.56% (0.245 0.25)12.43% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.64% (0.513 0.51)38.35% (-0.518 -0.52)
Tunisia Under-20s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.26% (-0.154 -0.15)36.74% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.47% (-0.152 -0.15)73.52% (0.148 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Brazil Under-20s 62.3%
    Tunisia Under-20s 17.3%
    Draw 20.4%
Brazil Under-20sDrawTunisia Under-20s
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.93% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.52% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.91% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 6.9% (0.088 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.6% (0.065 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.6% (0.08 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.46% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.025 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.5% (0.041 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.5% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 62.3%
1-1 @ 9.54% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.57% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.4%
1-2 @ 4.77% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-1 @ 4.57% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-2 @ 2.29% (-0.055 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.59% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 17.3%

How you voted: Brazil U20s vs Tunisia U20s

Brazil Under-20s
83.3%
Tunisia Under-20s
16.7%
18