Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil Under-20s win with a probability of 62.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Tunisia Under-20s had a probability of 17.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil Under-20s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Tunisia Under-20s win it was 1-2 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil Under-20s would win this match.