Neuchatel Xamax

2 - 1

Thun

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neuchatel Xamax win with a probability of 49.68%. A win for Thun had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Neuchatel Xamax win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Thun win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neuchatel Xamax would win this match.