Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
