Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grasshopper Zurich win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for FC Aarau had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grasshopper Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest FC Aarau win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grasshopper Zurich would win this match.