Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caykur Rizespor win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Goztepe SK had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caykur Rizespor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Goztepe SK win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caykur Rizespor would win this match.