Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zilina win with a probability of 58.03%. A win for Skalica had a probability of 21.47% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zilina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.78%) and 1-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Skalica win was 1-2 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zilina would win this match.