Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zemplin Michalovce win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Trencin had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zemplin Michalovce win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Trencin win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zemplin Michalovce would win this match.