Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Virtus Entella had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Virtus Entella win was 1-0 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.
