Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.