Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ascoli and Salernitana.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 35.96%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 1-0 (11.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salernitana would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ascoli | Draw | Salernitana |
| 35.19% | 28.84% | 35.96% |
| Both teams to score 45.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.71% | 61.29% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.79% | 81.21% |
| Ascoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.06% | 32.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.48% | 69.51% |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.57% | 32.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.05% | 68.95% |
| Score Analysis |
Ascoli 35.19%
Salernitana 35.96%
Draw 28.83%
| Ascoli | Draw | Salernitana |
| 1-0 @ 11.86% 2-1 @ 7.42% 2-0 @ 6.59% 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-0 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.59% Total : 35.19% | 1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.83% | 0-1 @ 12.02% 1-2 @ 7.52% 0-2 @ 6.77% 1-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.54% 2-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.96% |


