Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 58.4%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 16.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.67%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Fuenlabrada win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.

Result
Leganes	Draw	Fuenlabrada
58.4%	25.05%	16.56%

Both teams to score 40.33%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.18%

59.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.9%

80.1%

Leganes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.48%

20.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.98%

53.02%

Fuenlabrada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.74%

49.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.86%

84.14%

Score Analysis

Leganes 58.38%

Fuenlabrada 16.56%

Draw 25.03%

Leganes	Draw	Fuenlabrada
1-0 @ 16% 2-0 @ 12.67% 2-1 @ 8.98% 3-0 @ 6.69% 3-1 @ 4.74% 4-0 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.68% Other @ 3.1% Total : 58.38%	1-1 @ 11.33% 0-0 @ 10.1% 2-2 @ 3.18% Other @ 0.43% Total : 25.03%	0-1 @ 7.16% 1-2 @ 4.01% 0-2 @ 2.53% 1-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.91% Total : 16.56%