Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 53.31%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 18.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.28%) and 2-1 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.94%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.