Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Celtic had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.5%) and 2-0 (5.49%). The likeliest Celtic win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rangers | Draw | Celtic |
| 40.95% ( | 23.15% ( | 35.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 64.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.19% ( | 36.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.02% ( | 58.98% ( |
| Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.51% ( | 18.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.3% ( | 49.69% ( |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.17% ( | 20.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.5% ( | 53.5% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rangers | Draw | Celtic |
| 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 1-0 @ 6.5% ( 2-0 @ 5.49% ( 3-1 @ 4.84% ( 3-2 @ 3.8% ( 3-0 @ 3.09% ( 4-1 @ 2.04% ( 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 4-0 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 3.67% Total : 40.95% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( 2-2 @ 6.75% ( 0-0 @ 3.85% ( 3-3 @ 1.99% ( Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.15% | 1-2 @ 8% ( 0-1 @ 6.04% ( 0-2 @ 4.74% ( 1-3 @ 4.18% ( 2-3 @ 3.53% ( 0-3 @ 2.48% ( 1-4 @ 1.64% ( 2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 35.9% |