Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Celtic had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.5%) and 2-0 (5.49%). The likeliest Celtic win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.