Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.