Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest win was 0-1 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%).
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 38.55% | 27.78% | 33.67% |
| Both teams to score 48.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.43% | 57.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.65% | 78.35% |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.02% | 28.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.13% | 64.87% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.97% | 32.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.5% | 68.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 11.49% 2-1 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 7.12% 3-1 @ 3.35% 3-0 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 1.04% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.69% Total : 38.55% | 1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 9.28% 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.77% | 0-1 @ 10.56% 1-2 @ 7.45% 0-2 @ 6.01% 1-3 @ 2.83% 0-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.78% Total : 33.67% |