Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Rotor Volgograd had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Rotor Volgograd win was 1-0 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rubin Kazan would win this match.