Rostov

5 - 1

Rubin Kazan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.