Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 55.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Sochi had a probability of 19.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Sochi win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
