Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for FC Tambov had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest FC Tambov win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rostov in this match.