Scottish Challenge Cup Gameweek 3
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Central Park
  • Jack Allan 60' goal
  • Noah Simpson 68' yellowcard
  • Rhys Walker 68' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Denham 31' (OG)
  • yellowcard 58'
  • goal Noah Simpson 89'

Cowdenbeath vs Kilmarnock II - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cowdenbeath

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last game
Aug 11, 2026 7.45pm
Edinburgh 3 - 1 Cowdenbeath

Kilmarnock II

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last game
Aug 11, 2026 7.45pm
East Kilbride 5 - 3 Kilmarnock II

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cowdenbeath win with a probability of 55.29%. A win for Kilmarnock II had a probability of 24.68% and a draw had a probability of 20.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cowdenbeath win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.77%) and 1-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Kilmarnock II win was 1-2 (5.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result

Cowdenbeath 55.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 20.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Kilmarnock II 24.68%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.18%

Goals

Over 1.5 85.03% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 14.97% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 66.84% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 33.16% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 46.08% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 53.92% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 4.5 32.03% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 4.5 67.97% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Cowdenbeath 42.47% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 36.31% ▲ (+0.04)
Kilmarnock II 21.22%

Team To Score First

Cowdenbeath 60.57% ▲ (+0.08)
No Goal 3.78%
Kilmarnock II 35.65% ▼ (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 54.3% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 8 10.97%
Under 8 34.72% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 9 43.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 9 10.9%
Under 9 45.7% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 10.5 33.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 10.5 66.6% ▼ (-0.02)

Cowdenbeath Goals

Over 1.5 59.49% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 40.51% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 35.79% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 64.21% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 18.83%
Under 3.5 81.17%

Kilmarnock II Goals

Over 0.5 58.93% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 41.07% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 1.5 31.67% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 68.33% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 13.97% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 86.03% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 5.2% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.8% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Cowdenbeath 55.28%
Draw 20.03%
Kilmarnock II 24.69%
Cowdenbeath
2-1 @ 8.39% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.63% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 18.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 55.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.4% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.78%
3-3 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.49% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 20.03%
Kilmarnock II
1-2 @ 5.44%
0-1 @ 4.56%
0-2 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.59%
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 24.69%

Head to Head

Scottish Challenge Cup
Jul 30, 2024 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 1 2
FT Central Park
  • Paul McLean 11' goal
  • Aiden McLaughlin 56' yellowcard
  • Matthew McDonald 72' goal
  • Paul McLean 74' goal
  • Gregor Jordan 82' yellowcard
  • Ethan Kerr 90' goal
  • goal Paul McLean 37' (OG)
  • goal Ruben Cooper 41'
Scottish Challenge Cup
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • B. Wales 19' goal
  • S. Warnock 20' goal
  • A. Sotona 54' goal