Scottish Challenge Cup Gameweek 3
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
Central Park

Cowdenbeath vs Kilmarnock II - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cowdenbeath

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last game
Aug 11, 2026 7.45pm
Edinburgh 3 - 1 Cowdenbeath

Kilmarnock II

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last game
Aug 11, 2026 7.45pm
East Kilbride 5 - 3 Kilmarnock II

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cowdenbeath win with a probability of 55.27%. A win for Kilmarnock II has a probability of 24.68% and a draw has a probability of 20.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cowdenbeath win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (6.76%) and 1-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Kilmarnock II win is 1-2 (5.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.39%).

Result

Cowdenbeath 55.27%
Draw 20.05%
Kilmarnock II 24.68%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.18% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.08%
Under 1.5 14.92%
Over 2.5 66.9% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 33.1% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 46.13% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 53.87% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 32.08% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 67.92% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Cowdenbeath 42.51%
Draw 36.27%
Kilmarnock II 21.22%

Team To Score First

Cowdenbeath 60.49% (-0.01)
No Goal 3.78% (+0.01)
Kilmarnock II 35.73%

Corners

Over 8 54.28%
Equal 8 10.97%
Under 8 34.74%
Over 9 43.39%
Equal 9 10.9%
Under 9 45.72%
Over 10.5 33.39%
Under 10.5 66.61%

Cowdenbeath Goals

Over 1.5 59.56% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 40.44% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 35.84% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 64.16% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 18.83% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 81.17% (+0.05)

Kilmarnock II Goals

Over 0.5 58.99% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 41.01% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 31.72%
Under 1.5 68.28%
Over 2.5 14.02%
Under 2.5 85.98%
Over 3.5 5.22%
Under 3.5 94.78%

Score analysis

Cowdenbeath 55.28%
Draw 20.06%
Kilmarnock II 24.69%
Cowdenbeath
2-1 @ 8.4% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.76% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.61% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.92% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.56%
3-2 @ 3.7%
Other @ 18.33% (-0.05)
Total : 55.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.39% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.56%
0-0 @ 3.78% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 20.06%
Kilmarnock II
1-2 @ 5.44%
0-1 @ 4.56% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3%
2-3 @ 3%
1-3 @ 2.59%
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 4.72%
Total : 24.69%

Head to Head

Scottish Challenge Cup
Jul 30, 2024 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 1 2
FT Central Park
  • Paul McLean 11' goal
  • Aiden McLaughlin 56' yellowcard
  • Matthew McDonald 72' goal
  • Paul McLean 74' goal
  • Gregor Jordan 82' yellowcard
  • Ethan Kerr 90' goal
  • goal Paul McLean 37' (OG)
  • goal Ruben Cooper 41'
Scottish Challenge Cup
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • B. Wales 19' goal
  • S. Warnock 20' goal
  • A. Sotona 54' goal