Primeira Liga | Gameweek 2

Aug 18, 2019 at 9pm UK

Estádio José Alvalade (Lisboa)

2 - 1

Wendel (16'), Fernandes (44')
T (43'), A (61'), Fernandes (75')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Eduardo (73')
Santos (38'), Alan (66'), Esgaio (82'), Claudemir (90+4'), Horta (90+1')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Braga.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Braga had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Braga
40.48%	24.62%	34.9%

Both teams to score 58.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.91%

44.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.53%

66.47%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.21%

21.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.01%

54.99%

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.3%

24.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.76%

59.24%

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 40.48%

Braga 34.9%

Draw 24.61%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Braga
2-1 @ 8.74% 1-0 @ 8.2% 2-0 @ 6.25% 3-1 @ 4.44% 3-0 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.5% Total : 40.48%	1-1 @ 11.46% 2-2 @ 6.11% 0-0 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.61%	1-2 @ 8.02% 0-1 @ 7.53% 0-2 @ 5.26% 1-3 @ 3.74% 2-3 @ 2.85% 0-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.76% Total : 34.9%