Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, April 29 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Norwich City Under-23s | 26 | 12 | 39 |
| 6 | Burnley Under-23s | 26 | 7 | 39 |
| 7 | Southampton Under-23s | 26 | 3 | 39 |
Sunday, May 1 at 2pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Burnley Under-23s | 26 | 7 | 39 |
| 7 | Southampton Under-23s | 26 | 3 | 39 |
| 8 | Newcastle United Under-23s | 25 | -6 | 35 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley Under-23s win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Southampton Under-23s had a probability of 37.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Southampton Under-23s win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Burnley Under-23s in this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley Under-23s | Draw | Southampton Under-23s |
| 39.77% | 22.92% | 37.32% |
| Both teams to score 65.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.58% | 35.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.54% | 57.46% |
| Burnley Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.59% | 18.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.44% | 49.57% |
| Southampton Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.48% | 19.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.59% | 51.41% |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley Under-23s | Draw | Southampton Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 8.41% 1-0 @ 6.08% 2-0 @ 5.15% 3-1 @ 4.74% 3-2 @ 3.87% 3-0 @ 2.9% 4-1 @ 2.01% 4-2 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.75% Total : 39.77% | 1-1 @ 9.94% 2-2 @ 6.87% 0-0 @ 3.59% 3-3 @ 2.11% Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 8.12% 0-1 @ 5.87% 0-2 @ 4.8% 1-3 @ 4.42% 2-3 @ 3.74% 0-3 @ 2.61% 1-4 @ 1.81% 2-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.36% Total : 37.32% |
Dodgson (65')


