Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-23s win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Manchester United Under-23s had a probability of 38.28% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (4.97%) and 3-2 (4.58%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Under-23s | Draw | Manchester United Under-23s |
| 40.24% | 21.48% | 38.28% |
| Both teams to score 71.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.08% | 27.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.35% | 48.65% |
| Arsenal Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.94% | 15.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.43% | 43.57% |
| Manchester United Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.18% | 15.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.01% | 44.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Under-23s | Draw | Manchester United Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 7.87% 3-1 @ 4.97% 3-2 @ 4.58% 1-0 @ 4.51% 2-0 @ 4.27% 3-0 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 2.35% 4-2 @ 2.17% 4-3 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 4.22% Total : 40.24% | 1-1 @ 8.32% 2-2 @ 7.26% 3-3 @ 2.82% 0-0 @ 2.38% Other @ 0.71% Total : 21.48% | 1-2 @ 7.67% 1-3 @ 4.71% 2-3 @ 4.46% 0-1 @ 4.39% 0-2 @ 4.05% 0-3 @ 2.49% 1-4 @ 2.17% 2-4 @ 2.06% 3-4 @ 1.3% 0-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.83% Total : 38.28% |


