Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast Under-23s win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Saudi Arabia Under-23s had a probability of 18.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast Under-23s win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Saudi Arabia Under-23s win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ivory Coast Under-23s would win this match.
