Nations League
Sep 5, 2020 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Bakı Olimpiya Stadionu
  • Mahir Madatov 26' redcard
  • Ramil Seydayev 43' goal
  • Tamkin Xalilzada 63' yellowcard
  • Adil Nagiyev 72' yellowcard
  • Qara Qarayev 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Anton Krivotsyuk 48' (OG)
  • goal Gerson Rodrigues 72'

Azerbaijan vs Luxembourg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Azerbaijan

All competitions

Luxembourg

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for Luxembourg had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Azerbaijan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Luxembourg win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result

Azerbaijan 46.39%
Draw 26.13%
Luxembourg 27.47%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.48%

Goals

Over 2.5 46.51%
Under 2.5 53.48%
Over 3.5 24.99%
Under 3.5 75%

Azerbaijan Goals

Over 0.5 76.97%
Under 0.5 23.02%
Over 1.5 43.16%
Under 1.5 56.83%

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5 65.58%
Under 0.5 34.42%
Over 1.5 28.86%
Under 1.5 71.13%

Score analysis

Azerbaijan 46.38%
Draw 26.13%
Luxembourg 27.47%
Azerbaijan
1-0 @ 11.63%
2-1 @ 9.12%
2-0 @ 8.55%
3-1 @ 4.46%
3-0 @ 4.18%
3-2 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 1.64%
4-0 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 46.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 7.93%
2-2 @ 4.86%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.13%
Luxembourg
0-1 @ 8.45%
1-2 @ 6.62%
0-2 @ 4.51%
1-3 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 1.73%
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 27.47%