National League Gameweek 43
Apr 2, 2021 12.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Enzio Boldewijn 25' yellowcard
  • Kyle Wootton 45' yellowcard
  • Jordan Barnett 54' yellowcard
  • Connell Rawlinson 69' yellowcard
  • Mark Ellis 80' goal
  • Kyle Wootton 90' redcard
  • yellowcard Reece Hall-Johnson 73'

Notts County vs Wrexham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Mar 30, 2021 7.00pm
Notts County 0 - 1 Aldershot
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Kyle Wootton

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Mar 27, 2021 3.00pm
Wrexham 3 - 0 Bromley
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Luke Young

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 54.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Wrexham had a probability of 21.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Wrexham win it was 0-1 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Notts County in this match.

Result

Notts County 54.05%
Draw 24.39%
Wrexham 21.55%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.73%

Goals

Over 2.5 48.49%
Under 2.5 51.51%
Over 3.5 26.69%
Under 3.5 73.31%

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 81.02%
Under 0.5 18.98%
Over 1.5 49.47%
Under 1.5 50.52%

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5 61.38%
Under 0.5 38.62%
Over 1.5 24.64%
Under 1.5 75.36%

Score analysis

Notts County 54.06%
Draw 24.38%
Wrexham 21.55%
Notts County
1-0 @ 12.18%
2-0 @ 10.12%
2-1 @ 9.63%
3-0 @ 5.61%
3-1 @ 5.33%
3-2 @ 2.54%
4-0 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 2.22%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 54.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.58%
0-0 @ 7.33%
2-2 @ 4.58%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 24.38%
Wrexham
0-1 @ 6.97%
1-2 @ 5.51%
0-2 @ 3.32%
1-3 @ 1.75%
2-3 @ 1.45%
0-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 21.55%

Head to Head

National League Gameweek 55
Apr 18, 2020 3.00pm
Racecourse Ground
National League Gameweek 6
Aug 18, 2019 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Meadow Lane (Nottingham, Nottinghamshire)
  • Connell Rawlinson 63' yellowcard
  • Kristian Dennis 69' goal
  • goal Devonte Redmond 74'
  • yellowcard Jazzi Barnum-Bobb 79'
League Two
Apr 19, 2008 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Neil Roberts 77' goal
  • Wes Baynes 79' yellowcard
  • Shaun Pejic 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lee Canoville 77'
League Two
Oct 27, 2007 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Spencer Weir-Daley 17' goal
  • Matt Somner 43' yellowcard
  • Neil MacKenzie 90' goal
League Two
Apr 9, 2007 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ryan Valentine 51' yellowcard
  • Lee McEvilly 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jay Smith 81'
  • goal Simon Spender 88' (OG)
League Two
Nov 18, 2006 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Andy Parkinson 37' goal
  • Jason Lee 50' yellowcard
  • Jason Lee 60' goal
  • Matt Somner 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lee Roche 40'
  • goal Chris Llewellyn 65'
  • yellowcard Shaun Pejic 87'